Singapore Toto odds and prize groups explained
Every Toto ticket is a bet that six numbers from 1 to 49 will match the six drawn, plus one additional number. Here are the exact odds for each of the seven prize groups, what each group pays, and how System entries change the picture.
How a Toto draw works
Singapore Pools draws six winning numbers and one additional number from a pool of 49, twice a week on Mondays and Thursdays at 6:30 PM. An Ordinary entry costs $1 and covers one six-number combination. You win a prize if your six numbers match at least three of the six winning numbers; the additional number only matters for Groups 2, 4 and 6.
The current 6-from-49 format has been in place since October 2014. There are 13,983,816 possible combinations, which is the starting point for every figure below.
Prize groups and exact odds
| Group | You match | Prize | Odds (Ordinary entry) | Winning combinations |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Group 1 | 6 numbers | 38% of prize pool (minimum $1,000,000) | 1 in 13,983,816 | 1 |
| Group 2 | 5 numbers + additional | 8% of prize pool | 1 in 2,330,636 | 6 |
| Group 3 | 5 numbers | 5.5% of prize pool | 1 in 55,491 | 252 |
| Group 4 | 4 numbers + additional | 3% of prize pool | 1 in 22,197 | 630 |
| Group 5 | 4 numbers | $50 fixed | 1 in 1,083 | 12,915 |
| Group 6 | 3 numbers + additional | $25 fixed | 1 in 812 | 17,220 |
| Group 7 | 3 numbers | $10 fixed | 1 in 60.9 | 229,600 |
| Any prize | 3 or more numbers | 1 in 53.7 | 260,624 |
Odds are calculated exactly: the number of six-number combinations that win each group, divided into the 13,983,816 possible combinations. Groups 1 to 4 share a percentage of the prize pool equally among all winning tickets in that group, so the amount per winner depends on ticket sales and on how many people win. Groups 5 to 7 pay a fixed amount per winning combination.
Reading the table
- The jackpot is 1 in 13,983,816. Buying one Ordinary ticket every draw (about 104 draws a year), you would expect to wait roughly 134,460 years for a Group 1 win.
- Group 2 is harder than Group 3. It needs five winning numbers and the additional number, which is why it pays a bigger share of the pool.
- Most winning tickets are Group 7. About 88% of all prize-winning combinations are three-number matches paying $10.
- Any prize: 1 in 53.7. Roughly one Ordinary ticket in 54 wins something — usually $10 or $25.
System entries: more numbers, same odds per dollar
A System entry lets you pick more than six numbers. Singapore Pools then plays every six-number combination of your selection, at $1 per combination. A System 7 is 7 combinations; a System 12 is 924.
| Entry | Combinations | Cost | Jackpot odds | Chance of any prize |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ordinary | 1 | $1 | 1 in 13,983,816 | 1 in 53.7 |
| System 7 | 7 | $7 | 1 in 1,997,688 | 1 in 32.3 |
| System 8 | 28 | $28 | 1 in 499,422 | 1 in 21.3 |
| System 9 | 84 | $84 | 1 in 166,474 | 1 in 15.0 |
| System 10 | 210 | $210 | 1 in 66,590 | 1 in 11.1 |
| System 11 | 462 | $462 | 1 in 30,268 | 1 in 8.5 |
| System 12 | 924 | $924 | 1 in 15,134 | 1 in 6.8 |
Notice what happens to the jackpot odds: a System 12 is 924 times more likely to hit Group 1 than an Ordinary ticket — because it is 924 Ordinary tickets. The odds per dollar spent do not change. System entries are a convenient way to buy many related combinations at once, and when you do win, overlapping combinations mean you often win several prizes together.
Snowballs and the minimum jackpot
The Group 1 prize is guaranteed to be at least $1 million. If nobody wins Group 1, the prize snowballs to the next draw. It can snowball for up to four draws; after that, an unclaimed jackpot cascades down to the Group 2 winners. Read the full explanation in our snowball and cascade draws guide.
What the odds mean for you
Toto is designed so that, across all players, less is paid out in prizes than is collected in sales. No combination is more likely to be drawn than any other — the 13,983,816 combinations each have exactly the same chance every draw. Tools such as wheeling can organise your numbers efficiently, but they cannot change these odds. Treat Toto as entertainment with a fixed budget.